Yes position
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $24.89
- Potential payout
- $425.53
- Potential profit
- $400.64
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- $4.89
Polymarket Trader
ChaosForetold
0x9e9fb7fbbea52956313df0d3cacfb1be00de410f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $110.93
- Realized PnL
- -$57.88
- Win rate
- 86.7%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 15
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $30.15
- Potential payout
- $80.39
- Potential profit
- $50.24
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$19.69
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.3%
- Current value
- $55.89
- Potential payout
- $58.07
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.79
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.12
- Potential profit
- $49.12
- User PnL
- -$25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.78
- Potential profit
- $44.78
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.24
- Potential profit
- $42.24
- User PnL
- -$11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.46
- Potential profit
- $38.46
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.85
- Potential profit
- $32.85
- User PnL
- -$11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $3.57
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41
No position
Will Finland join the Board of Peace?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.58
Yes position
Will the US strike Somalia next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of February 2 above $325?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$88.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 4.7% 425.53 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 AND United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score20.4% 108.73 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown 40% 3.33 shares
- Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETDown 30% 3.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETUp 28% 3.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETUp 30.8% 8.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETUp 23% 4.35 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETUp 25% 4 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:10PM-12:15PM ETUp 1% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETUp 22.3% 44.78 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETDown 50.9% 49.12 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETUp 4% 25 shares