Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.58K
- Potential profit
- $2.58K
- User PnL
- -$26.48
Polymarket Trader
little-turtle
0x9ea20c4c8afae2e262084543218c552bd298effe
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $30.5
- Realized PnL
- $299.25
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $469.71
- Potential profit
- $469.71
- User PnL
- -$15.61
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $457.69
- Potential profit
- $457.69
- User PnL
- -$22.04
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $220.24
- Potential profit
- $220.24
- User PnL
- -$16.18
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 3.6% or less in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $3.9
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $196.1
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $2.9
Yes position
Will annual inflation be 4.4% in June?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.42
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$18
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.5
- Potential profit
- $132.5
- User PnL
- -$5.6
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.62
- Potential payout
- $113
- Potential profit
- $112.38
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.51
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $91.23
- Potential profit
- $91.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $87.73
- Potential profit
- $87.73
- User PnL
- -$57.9
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.25
- Potential profit
- $67.25
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.29
- Potential profit
- $64.29
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50.77
- Potential profit
- $50.77
- User PnL
- -$6.6
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $8.6
- Potential payout
- $49.16
- Potential profit
- $40.56
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.74
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.86
- Potential profit
- $42.86
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $17.12
- Potential payout
- $40.29
- Potential profit
- $23.17
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $3.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.71
- Potential profit
- $33.71
- User PnL
- -$4.21
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1.08
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $30.3
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 12 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.33
- Potential profit
- $28.33
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.95
- Potential profit
- $25.95
- User PnL
- -$9.86
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.95
- Potential profit
- $17.95
- User PnL
- -$7
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by February 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.24
Yes position
Will any other model be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $32.16
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.76
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.74
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.53
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.52
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.3
Yes position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.05
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.11
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $700b on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.66
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.72
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.06
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.4%
- Multiplier
- 6.51x
- User PnL
- $0.83
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.82
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on February 5?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on February 4?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?Yes 28% 68.96 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 15 and June 21, 2026?Yes 1% 113 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 47% 2.57 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 11.5% 38.34 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 11.3% 44.99 shares
- Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 14% 64.29 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 10.8% 90.68 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 9.9% 90.69 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?No 12% 83.33 shares
- Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?Yes 21% 42.86 shares
- Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?Yes 74% 40.02 shares
- Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?Yes 19% 49.16 shares