Polymarket Trader

alvaro25011

@alborotostock

0x9eae9dc70a6eb5c831a0ac96931c8488431598a5

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $3.24K
Realized PnL: $5.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.23K
Potential profit: $9.23K
User PnL: -$9.23

Down position

Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $7K
User PnL: -$7.99

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $51.85
Potential payout: $6.1K
Potential profit: $6.05K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$21.95

Yes position

Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.98K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$22.5

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $745 Week of May 25 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.49K
Potential profit: $4.49K
User PnL: -$4.49

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $66
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.93K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$18.4

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of May 25 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.95K
Potential profit: $3.95K
User PnL: -$3.95

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of May 25 2026?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.92K
Potential profit: $3.92K
User PnL: -$3.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.83K
Potential profit: $3.83K
User PnL: -$3.83

No position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $13
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.99K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$7

No position

Will Blake Moore be the Republican nominee for UT-02?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $34.2
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $1.87K
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$51.8

Yes position

Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.5B?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $1.85K
Potential profit: $249.14
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $353.81

No position

Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $24.5B?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$1.55K

No position

Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $141.08
Potential payout: $1.65K
Potential profit: $1.51K
Multiplier: 11.70x
User PnL: -$7.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$1.5

Yes position

Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $26B?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 93.3%
Current value: $1.27K
Potential payout: $1.37K
Potential profit: $92.27
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $428.9

No position

Will Sarah Elfreth be the Democratic nominee for MD-03?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $39.65
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.26K
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$26.55

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $995.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$8.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Palo Alto Networks Q3 Next-Generation Security ARR be above $8.0B?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $859.45

Yes position

Will Oracle Q4 Cloud revenue be above $9.75B?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $518.34

Yes position

Will Oracle (ORCL) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $461.18

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $397.5

Yes position

Will Casey's General Stores (CASY) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $333.08

Yes position

Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $292.51

Yes position

Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.04

Yes position

Will Boeing (BA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $212.27

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $185.21

Yes position

Will Designer Brands (DBI) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.03

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.81

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 49%
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $156.52

Yes position

Will Brian Mundubile win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?

Ends Aug 14, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $149.36

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.53

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.93

Yes position

Will White House post 200+ posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.43

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $116.64

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of April 27 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.44

Yes position

Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.275B?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.66

Yes position

Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.5B?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.64

No position

Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $95.19

No position

Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.1

No position

Will Hewlett Packard Enterprise Q2 Cloud and AI revenue be above $8.0B?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.46

No position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.53

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 1.5

Over 68% 30 shares
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5

Over 76% 40 shares
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 9% 100 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5

Over 82% 12.2 shares
Will Grace Meng be the Democratic Nominee for NY-06?

No 7.9% 194 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 75.2% 20 shares
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 5% 50 shares
England vs. Croatia: O/U 4.5

Under 89% 10 shares
Will Glenn Ivey be the Democratic nominee for MD-04?

No 5% 800 shares
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?

Yes 13% 0.74 shares
Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?

Yes 12% 30.07 shares
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.6% 100 shares