No position
Alcatraz reopened in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $26.88
- Potential payout
- $28.91
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $2.02
Polymarket Trader
Rajiff654
0x9ebbba6b664387498dff78e1f207a523c92622f0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $26.88
- Realized PnL
- $538.41
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $134.98
No position
Will Trump sue the BBC?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $105.16
Yes position
Will Mike Breen say "Bang" during NBA Cup Final Broadcast?
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54
No position
Natural Disaster in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Will 'Emilia Pérez' win the Golden Globe for Best Musical or Comedy?
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.85
Yes position
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.5
No position
Will Manchester City win again in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.03
Yes position
Fact Check: Cybertruck explosion intentional?
Ends Jan 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.34
Yes position
Will Coinbase announce another coin as next listing?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.8
Yes position
Azerbaijan blames Russia for downing plane?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.57
Yes position
Will Manchester City win again in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.95
Yes position
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.25
No position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
No position
Will MicroStrategy market cap dip to $50b in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.08
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?
Ends Dec 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.75
No position
Are the New Jersey mystery drones aliens?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47
Yes position
$MSTR added to Nasdaq 100?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will $HAWK FDV be $30,000,000 or more one day after launch?
Ends Dec 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
No position
Trump's January 10 sentencing pushed back?
Ends Jan 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
UK Recession in 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 33%
- Multiplier
- 3.03x
- User PnL
- $1
No position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Another confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 31?Yes 55% 3.27 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?Yes 99% 73.97 shares
- Will Anthropic have the highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?Yes 98% 43.83 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?No 70% 200 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?No 51% 100 shares
- Will the S&P 500 have the best performance for the week of December 15?Yes 19% 1.02 shares
- Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human?Yes 49% 27.31 shares
- Will Trump sue the BBC?No 89.6% 200 shares
- Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No 67% 100 shares
- Will Trump sue the BBC?No 37% 200 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?Yes 8% 10 shares
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?No 90.5% 10 shares