No position
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.1%
- Current value
- $564.19
- Potential payout
- $606
- Potential profit
- $41.81
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$15.15
Polymarket Trader
Amadeo4443
0x9ebe6fa029647dc0c2f8b1357b8c046e081f524f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $564.19
- Realized PnL
- -$122.83
- Win rate
- 40%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Ends Dec 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.46x
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$3.41
No position
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 73.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$15.85
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$105.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?No 95.6% 606 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?No 95.4% 520 shares
- Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No 78.3% 566 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 74.3% 487 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 25% 406 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 51% 406 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 70.3% 244 shares
- Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No 69.7% 244 shares