Polymarket Trader

switchqq

0x9ecb6dee189feedf0dd9ff5d9461d16bead026e8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $883.7
Realized PnL: -$201.43
Win rate: 23.1%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 13
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$36.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $455.26
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $545.31
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $137.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $364.67
Potential payout: $736.7
Potential profit: $372.03
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$80.84

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $711.98
Potential profit: $711.98
User PnL: -$544.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $63.77
Potential payout: $174.71
Potential profit: $110.94
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$23.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.07

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.81

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 81.8%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 18.3%
Multiplier: 5.48x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: -$25.85

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$38.39

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$39.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$48.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$61.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$102.21

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 22.5% 263.66 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 50% 126.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?

Yes 49% 48.51 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 54% 18 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 53% 47.68 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 53% 47.68 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 54% 136.89 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 37% 151.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 36% 99.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 24% 7.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 64% 28.25 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 64% 458.2 shares