Yes position
Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.6%
- Current value
- $109.67
- Potential payout
- $429.25
- Potential profit
- $319.58
- Multiplier
- 3.91x
- User PnL
- $46.54
Polymarket Trader
tobedualc
0x9ecbcdfb2203d37d5b9797df162b1ab376b04c3a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $281.5
- Realized PnL
- $188.47
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $342.01
- Potential profit
- $342.01
- User PnL
- -$40.89
No position
Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.8%
- Current value
- $64.82
- Potential payout
- $148
- Potential profit
- $83.18
- Multiplier
- 2.28x
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.9%
- Current value
- $47.94
- Potential payout
- $64
- Potential profit
- $16.06
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Yes position
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Current value
- $17.09
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $42.91
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- -$0.36
N
No position
Will Michael Bennet win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by less than 5%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $36.3
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $23.7
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.9
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.1%
- Current value
- $2.71
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $12.29
- Multiplier
- 5.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.8%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $14.01
- Potential profit
- $13.06
- Multiplier
- 14.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $10.99
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Multiplier
- 29.85x
- User PnL
- $34.08
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.38
No position
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $20.85
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.37
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.25
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.89
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.45
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Yes position
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- $8.51
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.85
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $5
No position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
No position
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.46
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.43
Yes position
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
No position
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $2.13
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.3
No position
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 27.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.64x
- User PnL
- $1.28
No position
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.78
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 18.1% 15 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026Yes 8.6% 14 shares
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No 88.5% 35 shares
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No 77.6% 8 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Yes 17.2% 11.25 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 11 cities on June 30 2026?Yes 14.8% 49.26 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by less than 5%?No 67% 55 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 29% 55 shares
- Will Michael Bennet win the Colorado Governor Democratic Primary by less than 5%?No 67% 5 shares
- Will Waymo operate in 8 cities on June 30 2026?No 43% 15 shares
- Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 72.3% 9 shares
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No 81.7% 27 shares