Polymarket Trader

AspectOfNightmares

0x9ed372f104f8d158948d755ca32601bd3398bc84

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7.24
Realized PnL: $331.63
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.14
Potential profit: $116.14
User PnL: -$4.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.33
Potential profit: $34.33
User PnL: -$3.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 31.9%
Current value: $7.24
Potential payout: $22.73
Potential profit: $15.49
Multiplier: 3.14x
User PnL: $3.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $5.56
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.77

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $32.22

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.07

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 4?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.69

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.76

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.59

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 5?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.44

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.27

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.7

No position

Will MrBeast's latest video get less than 45 million views on week 1?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $5.15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.11

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 37.5 and 38.0 million views on day 5?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.95

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 81 million or more views on day 6?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.73

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.43

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

Yes 17.6% 22.73 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Yes 9% 34.33 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 1.5% 80 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 16% 18.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Yes 8.3% 36.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Yes 21% 14.29 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 32% 13.88 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Yes 3.9% 37.08 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Yes 18% 40.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

Yes 23% 40.13 shares