OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $58.28
- Potential payout
- $376
- Potential profit
- $317.72
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$65.8
Polymarket Trader
ThomasPhillips1318
@BobbieL73697
0x9ed741c599df96535a53d1a340482dccb86eb0a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $187.47
- Realized PnL
- $6.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.2%
- Current value
- $122.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $77.7
- Multiplier
- 1.64x
- User PnL
- -$68.5
Yes position
Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $0.39
- Potential payout
- $17.17
- Potential profit
- $16.78
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $2.58
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
No position
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $1.63
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
Anthropic IPO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $0.76
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $0.81
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 88.3%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.78
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump say "Death Tax" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $740.7
Yes position
Will Justin Bieber attend the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $628.86
Virginia Tech Hokies position
Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigers
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $614.72
Yes position
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.41
No position
Will Trump say "IVF" during Women's History Month event?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $384.99
Yes position
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.13
Yes position
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $319.99
SpaceX position
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $314.49
Yes position
Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 24%
- Multiplier
- 4.18x
- User PnL
- $257.03
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $236.52
Yes position
Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $225.91
Yes position
Will Trae Young be traded this season?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 1AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201
Yes position
Will Lady Gaga win 2 Grammys?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.08
Yes position
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $166.16
No position
Will JD Vance say "Crazy" during meetings with Orbán?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.15
No position
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $148.5
No position
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hildebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 13, 2026)
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $119.16
Yes position
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2025-12-21?
Ends Dec 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.82
Yes position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 51%
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $88.32
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- $87.87
Yes position
Will Trump say "Congress" or "House" in Rome, GA on February 19?
Ends Feb 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $81
Yes position
Will Galatasaray advance to the round of 16?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.45
No position
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Ledger IPO before 2027?No 78% 604 shares
- Will JD Vance say "Crazy" during meetings with Orbán?No 81.8% 836 shares
- Ledger IPO before 2027?No 75% 604 shares
- Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in April?No 73% 550 shares
- Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026No 79% 499 shares
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?No 63% 883 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?No 33% 732 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No 82% 1,596 shares
- Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen by April 30?No 67% 883 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No 84% 1,597 shares
- OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?No 34% 732 shares
- Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026No 74% 499 shares