0x9ed8Be5DCFbfe19127575213fe235B4DF7B52e77-1778515611343

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.85K
Potential profit: $10.85K
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $2.49K
User PnL: -$140.42

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $769.54
Potential profit: $769.54
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $753.03
Potential profit: $753.03
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $519.1
Potential profit: $519.1
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $361.77
Potential profit: $361.77
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $339.45
Potential profit: $339.45
User PnL: -$67.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $332.56
Potential profit: $332.56
User PnL: -$29.93

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $269.75
Potential profit: $269.75
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.57
Potential profit: $178.57
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.63
Potential profit: $163.63
User PnL: -$115.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $123.88
Potential profit: $123.88
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.46
Potential profit: $97.46
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $85
User PnL: -$60.01

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.29
Potential profit: $70.29
User PnL: -$41.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.14
Potential profit: $58.14
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Austria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $52.63
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.71
Potential profit: $40.71
User PnL: -$4.03

Yes position

Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $16.35
Potential payout: $31.75
Potential profit: $15.4
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$3.65

Yes position

Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $26.67
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $3.64
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $14.39
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $15.91
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: $4.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.99

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.36

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.5

Yes position

Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.78

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.42

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $11.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.86

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.43

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$5.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9.59

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?