Polymarket Trader

0x9edFC3aeb1BBdD7A8CB2a2371752ED901262f572-1773082852433

0x9edfc3aeb1bbdd7a8cb2a2371752ed901262f572

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $159
Realized PnL: $117.22
Win rate: 56.5%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $968.55
Potential profit: $968.55
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $49.71
Potential payout: $929.07
Potential profit: $879.37
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$22.29

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $109.29
Potential payout: $496.79
Potential profit: $387.5
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$15.7

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $428.57
User PnL: -$30

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $428.57
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$30

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.58
Potential profit: $178.58
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $176.5
Potential profit: $176.5
User PnL: -$45.18

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150.66
Potential profit: $150.66
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.45
Potential profit: $95.45
User PnL: -$21

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.32
Potential profit: $60.32
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $100

Yes position

Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.25

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.59

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $61.43

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.75

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.07

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.76

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.43

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.21

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $4.19

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.29

Yes position

Israeli forces enter Beirut by June 30?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$3.57

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$6.82

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$7.51

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$9.87

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$19.83

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$20.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

No position

DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$26.49

No position

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$71.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$100

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.8% 461.54 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.7% 467.53 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 24% 458.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Down 15% 166.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Up 2% 250 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Up 15% 166.67 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 93.7% 248.32 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 91% 126.37 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?

Yes 39% 38.46 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Yes 30% 81.97 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

No 82% 121.95 shares
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

Yes 90% 222.22 shares