Polymarket Trader

09f3be3c174a84

0x9ef8169ba74bcdd6e67ee7439c69dd94b4358949

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.62
Realized PnL: $56.15
Win rate: 38.9%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$4

No position

Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $2.71
Potential payout: $77.56
Potential profit: $74.85
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $0.73
Potential payout: $76.92
Potential profit: $76.19
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.27

Yes position

Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.7
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $57.3
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $4.72
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $50.83
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$0.28

Yes position

Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 0 South Africa?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.75
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.25
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 15%
Current value: $4.69
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $26.56
Multiplier: 6.67x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.15
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$0.15

Over position

France vs. Senegal: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $28.57
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $22.13
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.13

Over position

Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 13.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.4
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $2.6

Yes position

Uzbekistan to score first vs. Colombia?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $13.98
Potential profit: $11.05
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Jordan?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $2.33
Potential payout: $13.33
Potential profit: $11
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $0.33

Over position

Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $2.67
Potential payout: $13.04
Potential profit: $10.37
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $0.88
Potential payout: $12.66
Potential profit: $11.78
Multiplier: 14.39x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score in First Half

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.56
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $10.94
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$0.44

No position

France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.91
Potential profit: $10.91
User PnL: -$6

Over position

Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $1.67
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $5.74
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Current value: $2.94
Potential payout: $7.26
Potential profit: $4.32
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Belgium to score first vs. Egypt?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.03
Potential profit: $3.03
User PnL: -$2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46

Yes position

Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.5

Yes position

Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $2

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $0.75

Yes position

Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0.64

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.11

Yes position

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Multiplier: 17.24x
User PnL: -$0.12

Yes position

Will Neymar play in the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 3.5%
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$0.31

Yes position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Multiplier: 22.99x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.3%
Multiplier: 7.55x
User PnL: -$0.47

Yes position

Will Trump say "Big League" or "Bigly" in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$1.43

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$1.94

Yes position

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.7%
Multiplier: 10.31x
User PnL: -$3.15

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.95

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?

Yes 12% 25 shares
Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 11.5 Total Corners

Over 27% 7.41 shares
Exact Score: Czechia 3 - 0 South Africa?

Yes 6% 50 shares
Exact Score: Uzbekistan 0 - 2 Colombia?

Yes 16% 31.25 shares
Uzbekistan to score first vs. Colombia?

Yes 22% 4.55 shares
Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Score

Yes 41% 4.88 shares
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Croatia?

Yes 5% 60 shares
Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 12.5 Total Corners

Over 23% 13.04 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo?

Yes 10% 30 shares
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Yes 0.3% 1,666.66 shares
Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

Yes 99.2% 17.64 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Algeria?

Yes 0.1% 45.45 shares