Polymarket Trader

tommyraz

0x9f128322dcbc1ae5498a13e1222996b406712640

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $54.18
Realized PnL: $421.62
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Hakeem Jeffries endorse Mamdani?

Ends Nov 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $110
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $106.36
Potential profit: $106.36
User PnL: -$50

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8PM ET

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.99
Potential profit: $76.99
User PnL: -$64

Yes position

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $54.18
Potential payout: $73.71
Potential profit: $19.53
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: $54.18

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump and Netanyahu only be photographed together, without a clear handshake?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.67
Potential profit: $66.67
User PnL: -$2

No position

US tariff revenue up in Q3 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.64
Potential profit: $61.64
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during October press conference?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $58.82
Potential profit: $58.82
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.79
Potential profit: $57.79
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Maduro out by November 30, 2025?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "No No No" at The Villages on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.79
Potential profit: $48.79
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.26
Potential profit: $47.26
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $41.67
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Trump say "Happy New Year" this week? (December 29 - January 4)

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.77
Potential profit: $38.77
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.71
Potential profit: $35.71
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will anyone say "God" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.52
Potential profit: $35.52
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Ehud Barak be named in newly released Epstein files?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31.5
Potential profit: $31.5
User PnL: -$19.63

No position

Will anyone say "Planet" during Rick and Morty E4 S9?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: $0

No position

Will JD Vance say "Fake News" during remarks in NC on September 24?

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.53
Potential profit: $27.53
User PnL: -$9.06

No position

Will "Maduro" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?

Ends Jan 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.11
Potential profit: $25.11
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Trump say "Pete" or "Hegseth" at National Defense Authorization Act signing on December 18?

Ends Dec 18, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.61
Potential profit: $20.61
User PnL: -$3

Jirí Procházka position

UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.51
Potential profit: $19.51
User PnL: -$9.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded this season?

Ends Feb 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.8

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.62

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.93

No position

Will the government shutdown end November 12?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.54

No position

Will Trump say "Fat" during the Signing Ceremony on Wednesday?

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yes position

Will "Tequila" be said during the next episode of the All-In podcast?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.18

Nothing position

Nothing Ever Happens: March

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.69

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12 AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.65

Yes position

Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.67

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2 PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2 PM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4 AM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.65

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.24

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11 PM ET

Ends Jun 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12AM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.34

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5 AM ET

Ends Jun 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.25

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 3 AM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.86

Something position

Nothing Ever Happens: April

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.39

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the second-best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.35

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.06

Yes position

Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.8

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 74% 33.78 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 25% 102.46 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 77% 9.09 shares
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 78% 25.64 shares
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 93% 29.18 shares
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 70% 14.29 shares
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 87% 11.91 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 65% 15.38 shares
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 82% 11.62 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 73% 6.85 shares
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 86% 11.63 shares
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 2% 23.11 shares