0x9f35...74e2

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $38.6
Potential payout: $39.12
Potential profit: $0.53
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.71

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $23.23
Potential payout: $23.79
Potential profit: $0.56
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.55

No position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $23.17
Potential payout: $23.39
Potential profit: $0.22
User PnL: $1.05

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $22.98
Potential payout: $23.37
Potential profit: $0.4
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $18
Potential payout: $18.31
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.92

No position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $17.22
Potential payout: $17.43
Potential profit: $0.21
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $17.28
Potential payout: $17.34
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $1.45

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.34
Potential profit: $16.34
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $15.56
Potential payout: $16.08
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.03

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.93
Potential profit: $14.93
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $13.93
Potential payout: $14.32
Potential profit: $0.39
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.38

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $11.69
Potential payout: $11.76
Potential profit: $0.08
User PnL: $1.69

No position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.57
Potential payout: $11.57
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $1.57

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $11.31
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $11.08
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $1.08

Yes position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.07
Potential profit: $11.07
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.72
Potential profit: $10.72
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in June?

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $10.6
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.63
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$9.99

Yes position

Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $10.57
Potential payout: $10.63
Potential profit: $0.06
User PnL: $0.57

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June?

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $10.48
Potential payout: $10.6
Potential profit: $0.13
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $0.48

St. Louis Cardinals position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10.53
Potential payout: $10.53
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.53

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.09

No position

Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

Yes position

Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

No position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.34

No position

Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.2

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

No position

Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 102m and 112m?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93

No position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.89

No position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

No position

Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.86

No position

Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79

No position

Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.78

No position

Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

No position

Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.65

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?