No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $121.2K
- Potential profit
- $121.2K
- User PnL
- -$1.36K
Polymarket Trader
0x9F49c3413Dd82A239e16D9955D5c14e83626A184-1771712715174
0x9f49c3413dd82a239e16d9955d5c14e83626a184
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.93K
- Realized PnL
- -$3.49K
- Win rate
- 14.3%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $12.93K
- Potential payout
- $14.13K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $5.16K
No position
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.19K
- Potential profit
- $9.19K
- User PnL
- -$7.06K
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.04K
- Potential profit
- $9.04K
- User PnL
- -$3.25K
No position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.27K
- Potential profit
- $1.27K
- User PnL
- -$1K
No position
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $357.14
- Potential profit
- $357.14
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $320
- Potential profit
- $320
- User PnL
- -$256
No position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $232.56
- Potential profit
- $232.56
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.19
- Potential profit
- $185.19
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $151.52
- Potential profit
- $151.52
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140.28
- Potential profit
- $140.28
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $137.43
- Potential profit
- $137.43
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.64
- Potential profit
- $113.64
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $440.78
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$17.7
No position
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$23.35
No position
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$24.28
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$124.18
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$135.44
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.61K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 50% 6,800 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes 8.1% 43,724.04 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 54% 2,222.22 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 29% 4,271.2 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 47% 361.7 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 0.3% 120,000 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Yes 18.7% 4,271.21 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 32.3% 2,471.99 shares
- US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No 36% 8,741.67 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?Yes 22.2% 14,159.43 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 37.9% 2,312.54 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No 71.8% 1,220.05 shares