Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $57.01
- Potential payout
- $7.6K
- Potential profit
- $7.54K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$17.75
Polymarket Trader
0x9F573Be9Ac0520A0a7B850bE49e10A4AE12e3272-1767912695870
0x9f573be9ac0520a0a7b850be49e10a4ae12e3272
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $223.04
- Realized PnL
- $1.6K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $32.57
- Potential payout
- $2.83K
- Potential profit
- $2.8K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$67.97
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.6%
- Current value
- $44.79
- Potential payout
- $288.05
- Potential profit
- $243.26
- Multiplier
- 6.43x
- User PnL
- $20.79
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $2.43
- Potential payout
- $134.81
- Potential profit
- $132.38
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$5.57
Yes position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $2.28
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $104.11
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Current value
- $12.94
- Potential payout
- $94.79
- Potential profit
- $81.86
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.06
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Current value
- $31.26
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $1
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.6%
- Current value
- $10.44
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $17.33
- Multiplier
- 2.66x
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $11.6
- Potential payout
- $12.28
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $2.6
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $9.41
- Potential payout
- $10.4
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $4.83
- Potential payout
- $6.01
- Potential profit
- $1.17
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say “Dana” or “White” 5+ times during UFC 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.75
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Trump say "Four More Years" in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 55%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $1.64
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.82x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $507.61
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.86
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.9
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80.43
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.14
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $62.97
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 5?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.46
Yes position
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $59.91
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $56.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.24
Yes position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $39.24
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 11, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.55
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.25
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 28?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $24.31
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.19
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.78
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.02
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.89
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.87
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.35
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.38
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?Yes 18% 27.78 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.7% 17.54 shares
- Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer / Buy a Dell Computer" in June?No 84% 1.19 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 5.9% 50.6 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Yes 4.7% 106.38 shares
- Will England win on 2026-06-17?Yes 58% 17.24 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 64% 15.63 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?Yes 6% 66.67 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 83.2% 6.01 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 36% 27.78 shares
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 13.9% 35.97 shares