Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $156.11
- Potential payout
- $4.46K
- Potential profit
- $4.3K
- Multiplier
- 28.57x
- User PnL
- -$43.89
Polymarket Trader
Unmitigated-Wisdom
0x9f598d1e98a768db25f2c167f4c60826bd91d19a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $235.08
- Realized PnL
- $9.25K
- Win rate
- 91.7%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $8.75
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.25
Yes position
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $9.72
- Potential payout
- $2.16K
- Potential profit
- $2.15K
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.28
Yes position
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.12
- Potential profit
- $128.12
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $53.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $46.5
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $3.5
No position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28.57
- Potential profit
- $28.57
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.08K
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.31K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $814.11
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.09
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $204.37
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $179
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.25
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.43
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.55
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.01
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.34
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $28.65
No position
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.63
Yes position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.19
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01
Yes position
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.71
Yes position
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.07
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
Yes position
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?
Ends May 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 65% 1,538.46 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 65% 769.23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 65% 769.23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 72% 555.56 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 74% 3,108.11 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 74% 945.95 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 74% 405.41 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 74% 270.27 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 74% 175.68 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 74% 1,351.35 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 71.7% 41.82 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 72% 138.85 shares