Yes position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $31.71
- Potential payout
- $275.75
- Potential profit
- $244.04
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$68.29
Polymarket Trader
0x9F6af3d74CE77E955aa11c687B1100adA9593CAf-1740630686290
0x9f6af3d74ce77e955aa11c687b1100ada9593caf
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $389.88
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $5.35
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $244.65
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$14.65
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $229.28
- Potential payout
- $245.22
- Potential profit
- $15.94
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $19.28
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $74.55
- Potential payout
- $89.29
- Potential profit
- $14.73
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $24.55
Yes position
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $2.12
- Potential payout
- $83.33
- Potential profit
- $81.22
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- $1.12
No position
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76.27
- Potential profit
- $76.27
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $2.2
- Potential payout
- $52.95
- Potential profit
- $50.75
- Multiplier
- 24.10x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.48
- Potential profit
- $43.48
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Trump cut taxes on high earners in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Current value
- $26.55
- Potential payout
- $27.69
- Potential profit
- $1.14
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $18.12
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $5.88
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $8.12
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.74
- Potential profit
- $21.74
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $15.38
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos not be released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.82
- Potential profit
- $12.82
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.24
- Potential profit
- $11.24
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos not be released by June 30?Yes 39% 12.82 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?Yes 13.9% 100 shares
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.2% 83.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 41.7% 24 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?No 89% 11.24 shares
- Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes 72% 27.78 shares
- Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?No 68.6% 14.58 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?No 56% 89.29 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?No 19% 263.16 shares
- Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No 90.3% 27.69 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes 2.3% 43.48 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares