Polymarket Trader

tradingbot99

0x9f723be3e2549870eb97c7b7b0358f5e639f22c7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $229.5
Realized PnL: $10.45
Win rate: 37.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?

Ends Jul 23, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $24.61
Potential payout: $40.35
Potential profit: $15.74
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $11.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $28.6
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: $0.6

Yes position

Will Chad Tracy be the next Red Sox manager?

Ends Feb 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $9.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $30.6
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be between 19 and 20 cents?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 32%
Current value: $12.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $27.2
Multiplier: 3.13x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $11
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $29
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$2.2

Yes position

Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.5% and 1.9%?

Ends Jan 18, 2027

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $5.58
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.42
Multiplier: 7.17x
User PnL: -$14.58

OpenAI position

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $34.2
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Blake Lively attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $7.4
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $32.6
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.6

No position

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be greater than 2.5%?

Ends Jan 29, 2027

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $9.2
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $30.8
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?

Ends Jan 10, 2027

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $11.07
Potential payout: $36.3
Potential profit: $25.23
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $3.45

No position

Will New York Yankees win the 2026 AL East title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $10.8
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $19.2
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?

Ends Jan 8, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $22.5
Potential payout: $29.8
Potential profit: $7.3
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $1.34

No position

Will Sabrina Carpenter attend Taylor Swift's wedding?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $4.36
Potential payout: $22.37
Potential profit: $18.01
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $5.3
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.7
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $13.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $6.5
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $2.3

No position

Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win MSI 2026?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $6.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.1
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.9

Yes position

Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $8.7
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.3
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will Aurora make a roster change before July?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $5.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $14.2
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$4.8

Yes position

Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 45.5%
Current value: $9.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.9
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $2.1

Yes position

Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?

Ends Jan 8, 2027

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $4.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.1
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $8.5
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $11.5
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?

Ends Jan 12, 2027

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $6.9
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $13.1
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $10.21
Potential payout: $17.46
Potential profit: $7.25
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2027

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $3.77
Potential payout: $16.76
Potential profit: $12.99
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Aurora make a roster change before July?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 71%
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $4.4

Yes position

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $2.1

No position

Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $1.95

Yes position

Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Republican House incumbents not win in between seven and nine nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.61

Yes position

Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 71.2%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0.49

Yes position

Will the US economy be in a soft landing at the end of 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 36.5%
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.2%
Multiplier: 6.19x
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Walt Weiss win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?

Ends Dec 19, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 52.5%
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 72%
Multiplier: 1.39x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $0

No position

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62.5%
Multiplier: 1.60x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be between 20 and 21 cents?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Ends Sep 20, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?

Ends Feb 12, 2027

Implied probability: 35.5%
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2027

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?

Ends Nov 12, 2026

Implied probability: 44.7%
Multiplier: 2.24x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 54%
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: -$0.18

No position

Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 73.5%
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$0.2

No position

Will Chad Tracy be the next Red Sox manager?

Ends Feb 1, 2027

Implied probability: 76.5%
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: -$0.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Delta Q2 passenger revenue per available seat mile be between 19 and 20 cents?

Yes 32% 40 shares
Will Aurora make a roster change before July?

No 70% 20 shares
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?

No 28% 6 shares
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?

Yes 43% 40 shares
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?

No 76% 5 shares
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?

Yes 4% 32.55 shares
Will UK annual GDP growth in 2026 be below 0%?

Yes 43% 40 shares
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?

Yes 30% 20 shares
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?

Yes 30% 39 shares
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?

No 70% 5.2 shares
Will South Korea GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?

Yes 59% 42.11 shares
Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.00% and 4.49%?

No 71% 40 shares