Polymarket Trader

0x9f790DC21319AD8FDED7B8d2e0d71462CF655487-1778542501559

0x9f790dc21319ad8fded7b8d2e0d71462cf655487

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.24K
Realized PnL: -$90.9
Win rate: 28.6%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $695.97
Potential profit: $695.97
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $425.75
Potential payout: $650
Potential profit: $224.25
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $295.75

No position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $540.54
Potential payout: $617.76
Potential profit: $77.22
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $40.54

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $68.28
Potential payout: $413.79
Potential profit: $345.52
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$51.72

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $28.18
Potential payout: $394.74
Potential profit: $366.55
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$1.82

Yes position

Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $381.77
Potential profit: $381.77
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $40.52
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $304.31
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $10.52

Yes position

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $342.47
Potential profit: $342.47
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $306.31
Potential profit: $306.31
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $294.12
Potential profit: $294.12
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Autopen" or "Auto Pen" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $287.62
Potential profit: $287.62
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.6%
Current value: $33.62
Potential payout: $267.86
Potential profit: $234.24
Multiplier: 7.97x
User PnL: $3.62

Yes position

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $80.49
Potential payout: $243.9
Potential profit: $163.41
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: -$19.51

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $9.65
Potential payout: $238.15
Potential profit: $228.51
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$35.93

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $222.22
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $9.17
Potential payout: $183.33
Potential profit: $174.17
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$40.83

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.65
Potential profit: $163.65
User PnL: -$29.69

Yes position

Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $116.84
Potential profit: $116.84
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $115.38
User PnL: -$30

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $115.38
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.44
Potential profit: $111.44
User PnL: -$7.8

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.75
Potential profit: $86.75
User PnL: -$66.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $54.61

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89.5%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $45.77

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$5.44

Yes position

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5%
Multiplier: 20.00x
User PnL: -$185.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?

Yes 78% 26.92 shares
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score

Yes 24% 62.5 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 3.4% 294.12 shares
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 15% 66.67 shares
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?

Yes 20% 650 shares
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Yes 30% 484.61 shares
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw?

Yes 17% 58.82 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 63% 47.62 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 81% 33.33 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 7% 71.43 shares
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 21% 47.62 shares