No position
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.05K
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $7.96
- User PnL
- $2.56
Polymarket Trader
koshbaby
0x9f80cc3c1cb7f48798eed98046819e1407fcea2d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.36K
- Realized PnL
- $408.65
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 19
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $219.89
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $2.09
- Potential payout
- $181.82
- Potential profit
- $179.73
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 84.8%
- Current value
- $89.91
- Potential payout
- $106.09
- Potential profit
- $16.18
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$10.09
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $87.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $5.5
Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $48.06
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.5%
- Current value
- $6.49
- Potential payout
- $44.75
- Potential profit
- $38.26
- Multiplier
- 6.90x
- User PnL
- -$13.51
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.4
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.27
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $30.55
- Potential payout
- $30.58
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.79
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $10.5
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $14.5
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $21.43
- Potential payout
- $21.98
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $1.43
No position
Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $19.32
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0.68
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $3.1
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $16.9
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$3.7
Yes position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $1.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $18.3
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $16.2
- Potential profit
- $16.19
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $10.56
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $5.52
- Potential payout
- $11.63
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $7.81
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $2.02
- Potential payout
- $2.11
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.29
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.93
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
Yes position
Will Trump say 'trans' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.71
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.93
No position
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.125 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20
No position
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.58
No position
Will Elon Musk buy a sports team before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.52
Yes position
Will Trump say 'Canada' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.81
Yes position
Elon Musk out as Head of DOGE in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.64
No position
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.45
Yes position
New Pope in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.94
Yes position
Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.69
No position
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.19
Yes position
Will Trump say 'DEI' or 'diversity, equity, and inclusion' during the 2025 State of the Union?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.43
No position
Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
Yes position
Will Karoline Leavitt say Israel during next White House press briefing?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.89
Yes position
Will Musk say "Rare Earth" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?
Ends Apr 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will Trump end DOGE in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.4
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.40 in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.23
No position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
No position
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will GTA 6 cost $100+?No 91% 21.98 shares
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?Yes 25% 20 shares
- Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 1.1% 181.82 shares
- Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 94.7% 2.11 shares
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 0.9% 222.22 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 99.8% 100.2 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes 31% 24.19 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 6% 16.2 shares
- Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 1.7% 630.8 shares
- US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes 68% 50 shares
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 98.9% 50 shares