Polymarket Trader

Kilian269

0x9f9916cfae41b54a4abcb271b23e5c5f407ceca0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.4
Realized PnL: $166.97
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $43.4
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $12.6
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $3.08

Down position

XRP Up or Down - September 5, 11AM ET

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Will the price of Solana be greater than $190 on August 1?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Oligarchy" 5+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?

Ends Aug 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.9

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 11PM ET

Ends Aug 21, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$2.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Over position

Will the Chargers and Patriots combine for 43 or more points?

Ends Dec 28, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.8

Bahamondes position

Turner vs. Bahamondes

Ends Mar 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23

No position

Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in February?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

No position

Will Elon say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Baier interview on Thursday?

Ends Mar 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

Zahabi position

Aldo vs. Zahabi

Ends May 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

Reyes position

Nikita Krylov vs. Dominick Reyes

Ends Apr 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.8

Cortes-Acosta position

Spivac vs. Cortes-Acosta

Ends Jun 8, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.6

Magomedov position

Pereira vs. Magomedov

Ends Apr 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.5

Yes position

Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

Yes position

Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?

Ends Jul 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 1AM ET

Ends Aug 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

Yes position

Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will another player win the Beast Games?

Ends Feb 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will someone else be inaugurated?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?

Ends Jan 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.04

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?

Ends Dec 20, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Sergei Bobrikov win the 2025 Belarus Presidential Election?

Ends Jan 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by January 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

No 72% 56 shares
XRP Up or Down - September 5, 11AM ET

Down 50% 5 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 11PM ET

Down 50% 5 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 1AM ET

Down 50% 5 shares
Will Bernie Sanders say "Oligarchy" 5+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?

Yes 38% 5 shares
Will Gen.G win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational?

Yes 46% 5 shares
Spivac vs. Cortes-Acosta

Cortes-Acosta 44% 10 shares
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?

Yes 55% 10 shares
Will Trump say "Economic Development" during Gulf Leaders Summit on May 14?

Yes 53% 10 shares
Will Ethereum reach $8000 in May?

No 99.8% 3.01 shares
Aldo vs. Zahabi

Zahabi 34% 10 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50k in April?

No 99.9% 1.9 shares