Polymarket Trader

glassslipper

0x9fa2ef131b53604ac588876ad10e1afc439da89b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $367.35
Realized PnL: $863.44
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $750
Potential profit: $750
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 4.6%
Current value: $34.45
Potential payout: $749.02
Potential profit: $714.57
Multiplier: 21.74x
User PnL: $4.46

Yes position

Starmer out by May 19, 2026?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.56
Potential profit: $234.56
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $199.28
Potential profit: $199.18
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $5.72
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $181.78
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $2.72

Yes position

Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.15
Potential payout: $154.6
Potential profit: $154.44
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$23.79

Yes position

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $93.13
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $31.88
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $68.13

Yes position

James Norton announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $113.64
Potential profit: $113.58
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $98.11
Potential profit: $98.06
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$6.95

Yes position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $24.44
Potential payout: $95.83
Potential profit: $71.4
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$15.56

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $20.15
Potential payout: $85.94
Potential profit: $65.79
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$1.85

Yes position

Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $47.26
Potential payout: $80.85
Potential profit: $33.59
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.63
Potential profit: $68.63
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.41
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.91

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.67
Potential profit: $61.67
User PnL: -$5.55

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $6.13
Potential payout: $60.98
Potential profit: $54.85
Multiplier: 9.95x
User PnL: -$3.87

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $9.43
Potential payout: $57.14
Potential profit: $47.71
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$10.57

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.3%
Current value: $18.58
Potential payout: $55.87
Potential profit: $37.29
Multiplier: 3.01x
User PnL: $8.58

Yes position

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $51.39
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.5
Multiplier: 1000.00x
User PnL: -$4.94

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.3%
Current value: $37.26
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $10.36
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $22.26

No position

Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84%
Current value: $39.55
Potential payout: $47.08
Potential profit: $7.53
Multiplier: 1.19x
User PnL: -$0.45

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $26.59
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $18.86
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $1.59

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon tweet 150 or more times?

Ends Aug 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.46

Yes position

Will Come See Me in the Good Light be nominated for Best Documentary Feature at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Jan 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.7

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.56

Yes position

Jimmy Kimmel hosts an episode of "Jimmy Kimmel Live!" by September 30?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.82

Yes position

Will 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be between 150k and 175k?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45

Seahawks position

Seahawks vs. Patriots

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.48

No position

Will the debate have 55-60 million viewers?

Ends Sep 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.64

No position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.72

No position

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.3

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.08

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.28

Yes position

1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?

Ends Nov 4, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.19

Yes position

Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.4

Patriots position

Patriots vs. Broncos

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.53

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.48

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.78

Yes position

Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?

Ends Aug 22, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.66

Yes position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.63

Yes position

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Yes position

Andrew Tate arrested in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.57

Yes position

RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?

Ends Aug 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Seahawks position

Rams vs. Seahawks

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.8

Ole Miss position

Ole Miss vs. Georgia

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.77

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?

Yes 9% 55.56 shares
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?

No 61% 16.39 shares
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 28% 17.86 shares
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?

Yes 11% 45.45 shares
Will Panama win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 6% 83.33 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 44% 22.73 shares
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 9% 61.67 shares
Will Panama win on 2026-06-23?

Yes 12% 91.67 shares
Washington Commanders agree to name stadium after Trump?

No 96.1% 27.77 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Yes 9% 84.61 shares
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 25.6% 85.94 shares
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?

Yes 35% 57.14 shares