No position
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $0.07
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Polymarket Trader
issac264kit
0x9fa87ec9b0124aaed9a12b88138085d5142606f9
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.18
- Realized PnL
- $4.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.6%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $1.73
- Multiplier
- 7.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $0.98
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will the Conservative Party win by 25–49 seats?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Amazon buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Robert Sarah be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2025?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in Nova Scotia in the next Canadian Election?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland?
Ends May 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 99%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No 97.4% 33 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 96.4% 36 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 96.3% 36 shares
- Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 95.9% 17 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 95.3% 33 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 95.3% 33 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.5% 38 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 94.8% 36 shares
- Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 94.8% 36 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 76.5% 45 shares
- Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 76.6% 45 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 95.8% 8 shares