No position
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $2.18K
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $78.05
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $184.4
Polymarket Trader
phantomscr1pt
0x9fa8d30db2545a3ab0e5d777de8ea9f4285bd94f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $6.06K
- Realized PnL
- $15.65K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $1.18K
- Potential profit
- $66.47
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $110
No position
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $0.57
- User PnL
- $133.74
No position
Spain snap election called in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78%
- Current value
- $515.44
- Potential payout
- $660.81
- Potential profit
- $145.38
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $15.44
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $534.07
- Potential payout
- $534.34
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- User PnL
- $34.07
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $414.81
- Potential payout
- $415.02
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $114.81
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 72%
- Current value
- $164.21
- Potential payout
- $228.06
- Potential profit
- $63.86
- Multiplier
- 1.39x
- User PnL
- $44.21
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.58K
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.26K
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Fauci?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $807.27
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $683.57
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $565.9
Yes position
Iran strike on US military by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $541.24
No position
US forces in Iran in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $493.73
Yes position
Yoon arrested by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $427.89
No position
Sánchez resigns as PM of Spain before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405.06
Yes position
Will Trump designate cartels as terrorists before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.17
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.07
No position
Israel withdraws from Syria in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $269.57
No position
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.63
No position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.37
No position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $203.18
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.52
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.48
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.87
No position
US recognize Somaliland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.87
No position
Israel withdraws from Syria before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.63
Yes position
Will Trump impose tariffs on Mexico before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.72
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.43
Yes position
US military action against Iran before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.83
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 602.4 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No 55.2% 452.52 shares
- Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No 88.4% 1,131.06 shares
- U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?No 93% 537.63 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No 87% 568.18 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?No 88% 568.18 shares
- Will UK strike Iran by March 31?No 93.9% 608.17 shares
- Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No 88.4% 1,131.39 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 62% 373.13 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 14?No 78% 609.81 shares
- Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?No 75.7% 342.46 shares
- Will UK strike Iran by March 31?No 82.2% 608.17 shares