listings

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $167.06
Potential profit: $167.06
User PnL: -$14.01

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $139.34
Potential profit: $139.34
User PnL: -$1.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $96.14
Potential profit: $96.09
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$12.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $92.87
Potential profit: $92.87
User PnL: -$0.93

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.97
Potential profit: $76.97
User PnL: -$28.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $16.06
Potential payout: $46.56
Potential profit: $30.5
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$4.43

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $11.61
Potential payout: $23.93
Potential profit: $12.32
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.84
Potential payout: $19.6
Potential profit: $16.76
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$7.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $10.02
Potential payout: $19.45
Potential profit: $9.43
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 56.4%
Current value: $9.14
Potential payout: $16.22
Potential profit: $7.08
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $2.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $9.12
Potential payout: $15.86
Potential profit: $6.74
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$1.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $10.36
Potential payout: $15.58
Potential profit: $5.22
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $14.33
Potential payout: $14.34
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $6.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 52.5%
Current value: $7.4
Potential payout: $14.1
Potential profit: $6.7
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $7.35
Potential payout: $13.87
Potential profit: $6.52
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $7.65
Potential payout: $13.78
Potential profit: $6.13
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $0.9

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 56%
Current value: $7.53
Potential payout: $13.45
Potential profit: $5.92
Multiplier: 1.79x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $9.42
Potential payout: $12.15
Potential profit: $2.73
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 7?

Implied probability: 74.5%
Current value: $8.96
Potential payout: $12.03
Potential profit: $3.07
Multiplier: 1.34x
User PnL: $1.38

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.96
Potential profit: $11.96
User PnL: -$4.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.68
Potential profit: $11.68
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 73%
Current value: $8.37
Potential payout: $11.46
Potential profit: $3.09
Multiplier: 1.37x
User PnL: $0.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.91
Potential profit: $10.91
User PnL: -$4.8

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $6.28
Potential payout: $10.56
Potential profit: $4.28
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$0.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.4

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.37

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 7?

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $4.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 6?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.59

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on July 6?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.22

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 6?