Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $2.1K
- Potential payout
- $2.12K
- Potential profit
- $23.37
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $18.97
Polymarket Trader
sir3829
0x9fbfbd499d631b7d1c7ef9d339b45daf36143829
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.14K
- Realized PnL
- $181.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?
Ends Oct 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.5%
- Current value
- $9.75
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.25
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $9.99
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.11
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Cavaliers position
Grizzlies vs. Cavaliers
Ends Mar 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.29
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Jazz
Ends Mar 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.09
Nuggets position
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets
Ends Feb 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.85
Timberwolves position
Bulls vs. Timberwolves
Ends Feb 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.55
Thunder position
Cavaliers vs. Thunder
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.43
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.36
Nuggets position
Clippers vs. Nuggets
Ends Jan 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.2
Yes position
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.09
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Bulls
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Nuggets position
Nuggets vs. Kings
Ends Dec 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.42
No position
Cybertruck explosion perp arrested by Sunday?
Ends Jan 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.93
Heat position
Raptors vs. Heat
Ends Dec 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.67
Yes position
Bitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Cavaliers position
Wizards vs. Cavaliers
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.35
No position
Will Luigi Mangione tweet again by Friday?
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.24
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.16
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Yes position
Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Assists O/U 4.5
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.05
Knicks position
Knicks vs. Raptors
Ends Dec 17, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Trump strikes another drug boat by Sep 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Ace Bailey: Rebounds O/U 5.5
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.71
No position
Will @PepMangione release another video by Dec 11?
Ends Dec 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 99% 1,892.74 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 89% 210.76 shares
- Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?No 98.8% 9.99 shares
- Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No 99.6% 10 shares
- Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 99.9% 1,045.46 shares
- Will the Toronto Raptors win more than 39.5 regular season games in 2025–26?Yes 99.9% 2,123.12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on March 16?Yes 99.8% 2,122.33 shares
- Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?Yes 99.9% 2,117.11 shares
- Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No 99.9% 2,118.09 shares
- Will The Greens win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?No 99.9% 2,118.09 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes 99.6% 2,090.97 shares
- Moonbirds FDV above $600M one day after launch?No 99.8% 2,081.16 shares