No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $3.06K
- Potential payout
- $3.09K
- Potential profit
- $23.15
- User PnL
- $25.85
Polymarket Trader
DorkiPorki
0x9fc04328779787d59935a6649ca8e7694b78cb4b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $4.04K
- Realized PnL
- $2.31K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $404.12
- Potential payout
- $436.89
- Potential profit
- $32.77
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $10.92
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Current value
- $384.2
- Potential payout
- $392.64
- Potential profit
- $8.44
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.35
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $339.94
- Potential profit
- $339.94
- User PnL
- -$329.74
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.63
- Potential profit
- $107.63
- User PnL
- -$105.96
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $83.94
- Potential payout
- $106.93
- Potential profit
- $22.99
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $5.62
Yes position
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $52.83
- Potential payout
- $53.72
- Potential profit
- $0.89
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $29.87
- Potential payout
- $30.5
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Current value
- $16.28
- Potential payout
- $16.75
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.7
No position
Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $2.4
- Potential payout
- $2.88
- Potential profit
- $0.48
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $557.3
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $202.41
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.66
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.52
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $171.96
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.92
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.83
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.99
No position
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.86
Yes position
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.6
No position
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.46
Yes position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.05
Yes position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.08
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.51
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.85
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.85
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.87
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.26
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.36
Yes position
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.77
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.74
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.07
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.35
No position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.03
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in July?No 98% 30.5 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 99% 983.16 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 99% 65.4 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 98.8% 70.09 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 98.8% 36.9 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 97% 376.7 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 96.9% 7.97 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 96.9% 7.97 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 98.1% 304.3 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 98.2% 500 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 98.2% 45.7 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No 99.8% 499.46 shares