Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $6.1
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $193.89
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$37.9
Polymarket Trader
Varuag
0x9fc656b336065f8b1866cd353d18072041604ed2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $231.68
- Realized PnL
- $1.74K
- Win rate
- 62.5%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $7.08
- Potential payout
- $199.99
- Potential profit
- $192.91
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$44.92
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $98.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $43
- Potential payout
- $99.99
- Potential profit
- $57
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $33.25
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $36.75
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$12.25
No position
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 73.5%
- Current value
- $44.1
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $15.9
- Multiplier
- 1.36x
- User PnL
- -$8.7
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55
- Potential profit
- $55
- User PnL
- -$20.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $4,100.00 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $573.22
Yes position
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.79
Yes position
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $252.46
Yes position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $173.91
Yes position
Will Usyk beat Fury?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.88
Yes position
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117
Yes position
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.5
Usyk position
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110
Yes position
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.12
No position
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 82.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $80.4
No position
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $53
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.67
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.48
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.45
Yes position
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.87
No position
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.8
No position
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18
No position
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$48
Yes position
Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$60.85
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$80.87
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?No 34% 17.74 shares
- Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?No 49% 100 shares
- Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes 98% 200 shares
- Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?No 45% 40 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?Yes 16% 16.04 shares
- Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?No 30% 69 shares
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No 97.5% 100 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 19% 300 shares
- Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No 21.6% 164.49 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 43% 800 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?No 74% 50 shares
- Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No 45% 38.27 shares