No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $11.48K
- Potential payout
- $11.95K
- Potential profit
- $471.91
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $99.09
Polymarket Trader
hodlor
0x9fce85f409b270e51b4cb1bdf76ae715eddc6a98
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.48K
- Realized PnL
- $7.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?
Ends May 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $965.28
Yes position
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2022- Implied probability
- 0%
- Multiplier
- 2485087.40x
- User PnL
- $765.6
No position
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $617.63
No position
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $450.14
No position
Will Liverpool finish in the Premier League Top 4 for the 2022/23 season?
Ends May 27, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $405
No position
Will Mbappé leave PSG?
Ends Sep 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $335.48
Yes position
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $297.81
Yes position
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $263.06
Yes position
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $197.56
No position
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.38
No position
Did Justin Sun bail out SBF?
Ends Apr 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $151
No position
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.06
No position
Did Kevin O'Leary bail out SBF?
Ends Apr 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150
No position
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.07
No position
Will France win the 2022 World Cup?
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $116.02
No position
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight?
Ends Jul 1, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $115.5
Yes position
Will the 2022 World Cup winner be from South America?
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $112.05
Yes position
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2023- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.2
No position
Will Girona win La Liga 2023-24?
Ends May 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.66
No position
Will Portugal win the 2022 World Cup?
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $89.63
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.6
Yes position
Will Bayer Leverkusen go undefeated?
Ends May 25, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $74.4
No position
Will England win the 2022 World Cup?
Ends Dec 18, 2022- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $72.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No 95.2% 11,947.04 shares
- Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No 91% 5,001.55 shares
- Earthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?No 28% 5,320.13 shares
- Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?Yes 80.9% 5,040.97 shares
- Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?No 30% 528.95 shares
- Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes 95% 1,592.04 shares
- Will Trump be Speaker by July 1?No 98.5% 869.01 shares
- Will Trump be Speaker by July 1?No 98.4% 533 shares
- COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No 89% 1,190.68 shares
- COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024?No 89% 3,685.25 shares
- Will Bayer Leverkusen win the Europa League?No 34.8% 300 shares
- Will Bayer Leverkusen go undefeated?Yes 44% 300 shares