Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $521.06
- Potential payout
- $521.58
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- User PnL
- $1.39
Polymarket Trader
Castebot
0x9fd64979a0d2bd5781ea6ac09143c7af21835ab1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.97K
- Realized PnL
- $104.36
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $429.79
- Potential payout
- $430
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $3.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $287.86
- Potential payout
- $288
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $287.86
- Potential payout
- $288
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $287.71
- Potential payout
- $288
- Potential profit
- $0.29
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $274.86
- Potential payout
- $275
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $257.87
- Potential payout
- $258
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C or higher on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $257.1
- Potential payout
- $258
- Potential profit
- $0.9
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $243.88
- Potential payout
- $244
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $157.92
- Potential payout
- $158
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $148.82
- Potential payout
- $149.04
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $121.94
- Potential payout
- $122
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $72.45
- Potential payout
- $90
- Potential profit
- $17.55
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$6.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C or higher on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $85.96
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $85.96
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $85.53
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $0.47
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $85.96
- Potential payout
- $86
- Potential profit
- $0.04
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 69.5%
- Current value
- $41.69
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $18.31
- Multiplier
- 1.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.11
No position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or below on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $51.38
- Potential payout
- $51.41
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $50.97
- Potential payout
- $51
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 61.5%
- Current value
- $30.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $19.25
- Multiplier
- 1.63x
- User PnL
- -$6.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $34.2
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$1.2
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $31.4
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $8.6
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on June 20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $32.38
- Potential payout
- $32.4
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.76
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C or higher on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 11?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or higher on April 29?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.39
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.03
No position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 11°C on April 25?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C or higher on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on May 16?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 3?
Ends May 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C or below on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 34°C on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.35
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on June 20?No 99.8% 32.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on June 20?No 99.7% 32.91 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C or higher on June 20?No 99.6% 61.48 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?Yes 99.8% 83.07 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C or higher on June 20?No 99.6% 86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 20?No 16% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C or higher on June 20?No 99.6% 86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 20?No 99.8% 224.25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?Yes 99.5% 35.43 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 20?Yes 99.8% 251.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on June 20?Yes 99.8% 13 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on June 20?No 99.8% 57 shares