Yes position
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.33K
- Potential profit
- $3.33K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
Qwerty852LT
0x9fd81419f219ff186fb012394df4db525d6dd4ed
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $516.66
- Realized PnL
- $126.26
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $379.42
- Potential profit
- $379.42
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $82.79
- Potential payout
- $324.68
- Potential profit
- $241.89
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $1.62
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.3%
- Current value
- $31.68
- Potential payout
- $239.13
- Potential profit
- $207.45
- Multiplier
- 7.55x
- User PnL
- -$1.32
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.1%
- Current value
- $32.46
- Potential payout
- $215.69
- Potential profit
- $183.23
- Multiplier
- 6.64x
- User PnL
- -$0.54
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.6%
- Current value
- $37.43
- Potential payout
- $173.68
- Potential profit
- $136.26
- Multiplier
- 4.64x
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $66.76
- Potential payout
- $161.06
- Potential profit
- $94.3
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $23.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $101.88
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.88
Yes position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.9%
- Current value
- $39.74
- Potential payout
- $120.96
- Potential profit
- $81.23
- Multiplier
- 3.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $33.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $66.5
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $58.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $41.5
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Current value
- $7.4
- Potential payout
- $72.16
- Potential profit
- $64.76
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Phillies position
Red Sox vs. Phillies
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.71
- Potential profit
- $62.71
- User PnL
- -$37
Yes position
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.14
- Potential profit
- $53.14
- User PnL
- -$3.72
Yes position
Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 52.5%
- Current value
- $26.75
- Potential payout
- $50.94
- Potential profit
- $24.2
- Multiplier
- 1.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.9%
- Current value
- $10.07
- Potential payout
- $48.31
- Potential profit
- $38.24
- Multiplier
- 4.80x
- User PnL
- $0.07
Yes position
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $10.24
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $37.38
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Ends Oct 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $10.08
- Potential payout
- $41.15
- Potential profit
- $31.07
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $9.81
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $27.22
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Ends Oct 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $9.81
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $27.22
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 30%
- Current value
- $11.11
- Potential payout
- $37.04
- Potential profit
- $25.93
- Multiplier
- 3.33x
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Ends Oct 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $4.33
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $29
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Bucks position
Bucks vs. Hornets
Ends Nov 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.57
- Potential profit
- $32.57
- User PnL
- -$21.82
Yes position
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $11.06
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $19.24
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $1.06
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Phillies position
Red Sox vs. Phillies
Ends Jul 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
Timberwolves position
Cavaliers vs. Timberwolves
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.24
White Sox position
White Sox vs. Pirates
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
Thunder position
Thunder vs. Magic
Ends Jul 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
White Sox position
White Sox vs. Pirates
Ends Jul 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Yankees position
Yankees vs. Braves
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Marlins position
Royals vs. Marlins
Ends Jul 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Trail Blazers position
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.63
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.18
Celtics position
Knicks vs. Celtics
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
Blue Jays position
Giants vs. Blue Jays
Ends Jul 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Yes position
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Blue Jays position
Giants vs. Blue Jays
Ends Jul 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Rangers position
Tigers vs. Rangers
Ends Jul 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Raptors position
Raptors vs. Nets
Ends Nov 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.11
Rays position
Orioles vs. Rays
Ends Jul 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Phillies position
Angels vs. Phillies
Ends Jul 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
Hawks position
Hawks vs. Grizzlies
Ends Jul 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.08
76ers position
Mavericks vs. 76ers
Ends Jul 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
Lakers position
Lakers vs. Hornets
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.88
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.66
Kings position
Suns vs. Kings
Ends Jul 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alcide Ponga be the next President of the Government of New Caledonia?Yes 53% 50.94 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 27?Yes 20% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 27?Yes 8.9% 11.24 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?Yes 59% 16.95 shares
- Will Senegal win on 2026-06-26?Yes 80% 12.5 shares
- Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes 68% 11.76 shares
- Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes 62% 16.13 shares
- Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Yes 49% 10.2 shares
- Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes 51% 19.61 shares
- Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes 15% 33.33 shares
- Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes 24.3% 41.15 shares
- Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?Yes 27% 37.04 shares