Polymarket Trader

Juhannus

0x9fe8af0a4d4d41dc5d69b930c408435496f50d5b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $277.27
Realized PnL: $914.92
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $140.95
Potential payout: $3.57K
Potential profit: $3.43K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$10.92

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $136.32
Potential payout: $2.1K
Potential profit: $1.96K
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$3.68

Yes position

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $524.42
Potential profit: $524.42
User PnL: -$100

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $274.07
Potential profit: $274.07
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $187.5
Potential profit: $187.5
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $179.23
Potential profit: $179.23
User PnL: -$132.03

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $129.87
Potential profit: $129.87
User PnL: -$100

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.75

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.25

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.32

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.6

Finland position

World Championships: Canada vs. Finland

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.21

Finland position

World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.38

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.45

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.91

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.07

Yes position

Will Finland be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.83

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.19

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 4.3% 63.02 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 6.7% 2,097.26 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 99.9% 147.05 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 4.3% 3,505.37 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 77% 129.87 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 68% 147.06 shares
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

No 73% 274.07 shares
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland

Finland 47% 106.38 shares
World Championships: Canada vs. Finland

Finland 39% 128.21 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 12% 28.57 shares
Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Yes 2% 25 shares
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?

Yes 73.7% 179.23 shares