Yes position
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $340.97
- Potential payout
- $45.46K
- Potential profit
- $45.12K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$367.02
Polymarket Trader
Abandoned-Property
0x9feaa936b71de14071d4b2d4431a8dc903f17375
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $689.14
- Realized PnL
- $603.48
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $32.25
- Potential payout
- $3.23K
- Potential profit
- $3.19K
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$67.87
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $315.92
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $2.71K
- Multiplier
- 9.57x
- User PnL
- $146.98
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $625
- Potential profit
- $625
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $147.06
- Potential profit
- $147.06
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $416.98
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $360.66
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $322.14
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
Yes position
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $185
Yes position
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $133.74
Yes position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.75
No position
Will Trump say "drill baby drill" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.6
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.86
Yes position
Will Trump say "Comrade Kamala" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19
Yes position
Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Elon Musk" at debate?
Ends Sep 10, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$22.9
Yes position
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.87
Pacers position
NBA Playoffs: Cavaliers vs. Pacers (To Advance)
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$39.67
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$41.59
Yes position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- -$62.39
Yes position
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Clair Obscur: Expedition 33 win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$102
Pacers position
Cavaliers vs. Pacers
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$113.62
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will Roy Cooper be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$210
No position
Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$416.89
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21?Yes 17% 147.06 shares
- Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?Yes 10% 250 shares
- Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?Yes 96.7% 500 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 83% 1,639.34 shares
- Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.4% 22,194.94 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 57% 500 shares
- US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes 60% 1,000 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes 11% 2,079.73 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes 32% 625 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 61% 1,639.34 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes 14% 2,079.73 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No 40.5% 493.89 shares