Yes position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $5.67
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.35
Polymarket Trader
0x9ff2...4ab5
0x9ff2645cc2ef8e6c2637eb4f96095ba6559d4ab5
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $63.96
- Realized PnL
- -$25.52
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $12.75
- Potential payout
- $13.71
- Potential profit
- $0.96
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $3.84
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $9.19
- Potential payout
- $11.49
- Potential profit
- $2.3
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $11.2
- Potential profit
- $6.38
- Multiplier
- 2.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $5.18
- Potential payout
- $9.17
- Potential profit
- $3.99
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $9.16
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- Multiplier
- 1.89x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $4.31
- Potential payout
- $8.45
- Potential profit
- $4.14
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $3.18
- Potential payout
- $8.15
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- -$0.08
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $4.28
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $3.72
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $6.57
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $1.16
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $5.09
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $5.99
- Potential payout
- $6.06
- Potential profit
- $0.08
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.31
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $5.16
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $1.74
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $1.26
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of July 6 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.31
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.31
N
No position
Will Warsh say "FED" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.02
Yes position
Will Warsh say "Downside" during June Press Conference?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.44
No position
Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1% and 1.5%?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.93
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7.77
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No 40% 8.15 shares
- Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Yes 38% 14 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 65% 13.71 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?Yes 42.2% 8.15 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 52% 9.17 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?No 26% 6.58 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?No 77.2% 6.06 shares
- Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $126 Week of July 6 2026?Yes 74% 6 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 99% 6 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?No 58% 9.16 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?Yes 33% 7 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Yes 24% 6.25 shares