Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $421.9K
- Potential profit
- $421.9K
- User PnL
- -$2.95K
Polymarket Trader
tfg50
0x9ffe14d8b1e05c23430c8592cd8ec30f70658edd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $17.14K
- Realized PnL
- -$45.33K
- Win rate
- 0%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $17.14K
- Potential payout
- $29.05K
- Potential profit
- $11.91K
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $6.82K
Carano position
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.09
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 41%
- Multiplier
- 2.44x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$13.75
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$311
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$44.96K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 41% 255.6 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 39% 284 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 38% 75.88 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 32% 25.9 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 32% 8 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 32% 5,013.48 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 32% 58.42 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 32% 7,135.16 shares
- MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina CaranoCarano 1% 1,500 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 34% 700 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 34% 49.99 shares
- Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes 34% 49.99 shares