Polymarket Trader

0xa004...e6e6

0xa00414652c9181db1a14051377d21c4f479ee6e6

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $90.4
Realized PnL: $363.17
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 14
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 21.8%
Current value: $16.68
Potential payout: $76.7
Potential profit: $60.02
Multiplier: 4.60x
User PnL: -$1.22

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $5.98
Potential payout: $27.83
Potential profit: $21.85
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.42

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.07
Potential payout: $19.77
Potential profit: $19.7
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$10.3

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $13.88
Potential payout: $14.53
Potential profit: $0.65
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78%
Current value: $8.07
Potential payout: $10.35
Potential profit: $2.28
Multiplier: 1.28x
User PnL: $1.04

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.3%
Current value: $8.39
Potential payout: $8.54
Potential profit: $0.15
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.39

No position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $7.04
Potential payout: $8.05
Potential profit: $1.01
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Carlos Vila Nova win the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $7.57
Potential payout: $8.05
Potential profit: $0.48
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $7.79
Potential payout: $7.99
Potential profit: $0.2
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1

No position

Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?

Ends Jul 30, 2026

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $0.93
Potential payout: $5.97
Potential profit: $5.04
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$1.16

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 64%
Current value: $3.56
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $2
Multiplier: 1.56x
User PnL: $0.28

No position

Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $5.49
Potential profit: $0.66
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $0.77

Yes position

Will 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $5.21
Potential payout: $5.4
Potential profit: $0.19
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.6%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $5.31
Potential profit: $4.91
Multiplier: 13.25x
User PnL: -$0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Arneb position

LoL: FENNEL vs Arneb - Game 2 Winner

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.68

Arneb position

Game Handicap: FNL (-1.5) vs Arneb (+1.5)

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.35

LYON position

LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.56

LYON position

LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winner

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.28

LYON position

LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.58

Under position

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

Morocco position

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.04

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.89

Under position

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.8

LOS position

LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 3 Winner

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.14

France position

Spread: France (-1.5)

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.95

Argentina position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.87

Over position

Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.45

Team Liquid position

Game Handicap: TL (-2.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+2.5)

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.28

England position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.23

EXILE esports position

Game Handicap: EXE (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.07

T1 position

Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs FURIA Esports (+2.5)

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.76

Over position

South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.4

G2 Esports position

LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner

Ends Jul 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.54

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.46

Under position

Games Total: O/U 3.5

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.2

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.16

KT Rolster position

LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.09

Hanwha Life Esports position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Yes 97.5% 0.11 shares
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Yes 97.5% 0.19 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 62% 5.55 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Yes 61% 5.55 shares
Will Carlos Vila Nova win the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections?

Yes 85% 8.29 shares
Games Total: O/U 3.5

Over 61% 40.98 shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

Hanwha Life Esports 85% 58.82 shares
Games Total: O/U 4.5

Over 25% 5 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5

Over 78% 48.23 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5

Over 78% 0.13 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5

Over 78% 0.18 shares
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5

Over 78% 0.43 shares