Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.73
- Potential payout
- $693.43
- Potential profit
- $691.7
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.27
Polymarket Trader
0xa0061777436d9D1B4ec2d9AF10E7cA860e4C029d-1779977752014
0xa0061777436d9d1b4ec2d9af10e7ca860e4c029d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $55.63
- Realized PnL
- $58.27
- Win rate
- 12.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $1.8
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $398.2
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.93
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $140.93
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.9%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $121.38
- Multiplier
- 34.48x
- User PnL
- -$6.38
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.9
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.1
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$4.1
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $92.39
- Potential profit
- $90.45
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $69.77
- Potential profit
- $69.73
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Yes position
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.52
- Potential payout
- $68.93
- Potential profit
- $68.42
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.4%
- Current value
- $4.54
- Potential payout
- $61.73
- Potential profit
- $57.19
- Multiplier
- 13.61x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $7.5
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $48.06
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $9.97
- Potential payout
- $54.05
- Potential profit
- $44.08
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Christoph Baumgartner: 2+ goals
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.28
- Potential profit
- $51.28
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $50.8
- Potential profit
- $50.55
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.75
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.38
- Potential payout
- $47.62
- Potential profit
- $47.24
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $19.99
- Potential payout
- $45.96
- Potential profit
- $25.97
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $1.99
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.07
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.39
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.93
Yes position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $264 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.45
- Potential payout
- $44.55
- Potential profit
- $44.1
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.45
Yes position
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.86
- Potential profit
- $42.86
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.92
- Potential profit
- $39.92
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Czechia to win the second half?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.09
- Potential profit
- $34.09
- User PnL
- -$15
Over position
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.9
- Potential profit
- $33.9
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Iraq leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$3
Y
Yes position
Qatar to win the second half?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$3
Over position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: DR Congo 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.74
- Potential profit
- $31.74
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.21
Y
Yes position
Arsenal FC leading at halftime?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.21
Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.85
Sweden position
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Draw at halftime?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Côte d'Ivoire to win the second half?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 3.5 Corners
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Second half draw?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Austria vs. Jordan: Jordan 2nd Half O/U 0.5
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Côte dIvoire position
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: Team to Take First Corner
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Canada vs. Qatar: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Y
Yes position
Sweden leading at halftime?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
France vs. Senegal: France O/U 2.5
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score in First Half
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Over position
Sweden vs. Tunisia: Sweden O/U 1.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes 1.4% 142.86 shares
- Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes 2.2% 92.39 shares
- Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Yes 7.2% 27.91 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 19, 2026?No 3.9% 50.8 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?Yes 0.5% 400 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.4% 500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 18% 11.11 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 13% 15.38 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes 9.7% 30.93 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 8.1% 61.73 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 18.5% 54.05 shares
- Bosnia-Herzegovina to score first vs. Switzerland?Yes 27% 7.41 shares