Polymarket Trader

weatherwhat

0xa0161e41c059c3c6662d96f7f07226dbfb6067c2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $118.38
Realized PnL: $0.4
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 4
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $121.42
Potential profit: $120.51
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$9.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $8.29
Potential payout: $50.25
Potential profit: $41.96
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$1.71

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 13.6%
Current value: $6.75
Potential payout: $49.79
Potential profit: $43.05
Multiplier: 7.38x
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $6.45
Potential payout: $47.78
Potential profit: $41.33
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$2.55

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $7.15
Potential payout: $44.69
Potential profit: $37.54
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$0.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $2.24
Potential payout: $40.78
Potential profit: $38.53
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$3.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $7.45
Potential payout: $36.32
Potential profit: $28.87
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$1.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $12.41
Potential payout: $34.01
Potential profit: $21.59
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: $5.41

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $10.54
Potential payout: $32.43
Potential profit: $21.89
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $1.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $6.94
Potential payout: $32.26
Potential profit: $25.33
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$1.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.87
Potential payout: $31.8
Potential profit: $25.94
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $1.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $4.24
Potential payout: $22.94
Potential profit: $18.7
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$0.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $4.22
Potential payout: $21.65
Potential profit: $17.43
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $20.41
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$3.36

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $20.36
Potential profit: $15.37
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $4.62
Potential payout: $20.07
Potential profit: $15.46
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $3.14
Potential payout: $19.62
Potential profit: $16.48
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $1.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $3.52
Potential payout: $17.19
Potential profit: $13.67
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $0.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $3.44
Potential payout: $16.78
Potential profit: $13.34
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $1.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.74
Potential payout: $15.13
Potential profit: $13.39
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $15.1
Potential profit: $10.19
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $0.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $0.96
Potential payout: $14.84
Potential profit: $13.87
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $2.51
Potential payout: $12.85
Potential profit: $10.35
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: $0.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 28°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $4.45
Potential payout: $12.54
Potential profit: $8.09
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: $0.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 41%
Multiplier: 2.44x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.05

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on July 11?

No 60% 1.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 10?

Yes 42% 1.77 shares
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on July 11?

Yes 25% 4 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 11?

Yes 30% 3.33 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 11?

Yes 40% 6.74 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 10?

No 82.2% 1.22 shares
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 11?

Yes 41% 1.83 shares
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on July 10?

Yes 16.9% 5.92 shares
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on July 10?

Yes 27% 3.7 shares
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on July 11?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 11?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 11?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares