Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $49K
- Potential payout
- $280K
- Potential profit
- $231K
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $6.56K
Polymarket Trader
yungstalin
0xa022ba0a68e11a78348382ff168601012d4d77f8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $619.75K
- Realized PnL
- $967.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $260.72K
- Potential profit
- $260.72K
- User PnL
- -$11.39K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $242.53K
- Potential payout
- $244.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.08K
- User PnL
- $57.15K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $210.12K
- Potential profit
- $210.12K
- User PnL
- -$46.08K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.24K
- Potential profit
- $138.24K
- User PnL
- -$4.67K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.6%
- Current value
- $4.88K
- Potential payout
- $107.27K
- Potential profit
- $102.39K
- Multiplier
- 21.98x
- User PnL
- -$30.65K
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- Current value
- $106.22K
- Potential payout
- $107.13K
- Potential profit
- $910.59
- User PnL
- $4.04K
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 33.4%
- Current value
- $33.35K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $66.65K
- Multiplier
- 3.00x
- User PnL
- -$16.65K
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 66.7%
- Current value
- $66.65K
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $33.35K
- Multiplier
- 1.50x
- User PnL
- $16.65K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $219.47
- Potential payout
- $87.79K
- Potential profit
- $87.57K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.49K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $84.25K
- Potential payout
- $84.3K
- Potential profit
- $42.15
- User PnL
- $43.5K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80.27K
- Potential profit
- $80.27K
- User PnL
- -$10.29K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.71K
- Potential profit
- $66.71K
- User PnL
- -$6.29K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $66.32K
- Potential profit
- $66.32K
- User PnL
- -$6.99K
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $52.68K
- Potential profit
- $52.68K
- User PnL
- -$3.65K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.71K
- Potential profit
- $51.71K
- User PnL
- -$1.55K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.56K
- Potential profit
- $48.56K
- User PnL
- -$45.47K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.84K
- Potential profit
- $45.84K
- User PnL
- -$14.3K
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.53K
- Potential profit
- $44.53K
- User PnL
- -$9.5K
No position
Will Trump visit China by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.3K
- Potential profit
- $44.3K
- User PnL
- -$1.94K
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $570.22
- Potential payout
- $42.24K
- Potential profit
- $41.67K
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$5.64K
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40.87K
- Potential profit
- $40.87K
- User PnL
- -$2.05K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$80
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.2%
- Current value
- $32.08K
- Potential payout
- $38.1K
- Potential profit
- $6.02K
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- $5.51K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $360.1K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.29K
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $48.06K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.1K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.64K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.81K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.59K
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.64K
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $25.56K
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $25.11K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.12K
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.95K
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $18.26K
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $18.02K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.28K
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.84K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.43K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.61K
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $12.43K
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.19K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.27K
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.26K
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.64K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 18.4% 5,061 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No 46.6% 28,325.81 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 80% 13,196.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.6% 1,178.64 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes 80% 9,434.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 5% 3,065.51 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 5% 2,094.39 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 17% 3,426.18 shares
- Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes 81.1% 7,210.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 70.4% 1,612.23 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 35% 1,178.27 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 17% 2,435.46 shares