Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 190 and 204 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
lauratorre
0xa02304e9f72e3866295c790af3590b95f77832bb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.75
- Realized PnL
- $160.96
- Win rate
- 86.4%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Marty Supreme win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 220 and 234 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 205 and 219 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $497.25
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $500
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Frankenstein win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will "Hamnet" win 6 or more awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $309.98
- Potential profit
- $309.98
- User PnL
- -$1.24
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party win between 235 and 249 seats in the 2026 Japanese snap general election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $181.62
- Potential profit
- $181.62
- User PnL
- -$2
France position
Men's Group A - Canada vs. France
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $170
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 3AM ET
Ends Feb 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $128.59
- Potential profit
- $128.59
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Debi Tirar Mas Fotos by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 14?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $105.12
- Potential profit
- $105.12
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 13?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will VVD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 12?
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $71.43
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $41.67
- Potential profit
- $41.67
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.47
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.88
Yes position
Will GroenLinks (GL) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
Will Chelsea FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
Yes position
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.8
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.08
No position
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54
No position
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 10+ times during the Champion of Coal event?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.72
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.92
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will PvdD be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No 99.9% 8 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 94.7% 40 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 77% 14.28 shares
- Will the State of the Union address be delayed?Yes 6% 16.67 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETUp 51% 3.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ETUp 51% 3.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ETUp 51% 3.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETUp 51% 3.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETUp 51% 3.86 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp 99% 5.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETUp 99% 5.79 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp 98% 5.79 shares