Yes position
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17%
- Current value
- $6.8K
- Potential payout
- $39.98K
- Potential profit
- $33.19K
- Multiplier
- 5.88x
- User PnL
- -$2.8K
Polymarket Trader
orangeor
0xa02a7006aeeca7887b1a8bf0afb9926a579c86c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.38K
- Realized PnL
- $4.87K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 6
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$7.1K
Yes position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $5.75K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $4.25K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.65K
Ding position
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.17K
- Potential profit
- $4.17K
- User PnL
- -$2.4K
No position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.2m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $430.69
- Potential payout
- $1.46K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$523.38
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$285.73
No position
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.3m barrels per day in 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2027- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $580
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $420
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$220
No position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $641.46
- Potential payout
- $791.92
- Potential profit
- $150.46
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $71.27
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $146.09
- Potential payout
- $161.43
- Potential profit
- $15.34
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $26.64
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $35.65
- Potential payout
- $35.65
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $26.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.14K
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.71K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45K
No position
Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $530
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.51K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 11% 37,819.91 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 25% 72.6 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 30% 4,125.82 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 20% 10,000 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 20% 10,000 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 20% 10,000 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 19% 10,000 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 21% 9,605.31 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 21% 10,000 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?No 72% 791.92 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes 15% 37,819.91 shares
- Will Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for Denmark by Feburary 1?No 64% 100 shares