Polymarket Trader

0xa03E759CC9fC4A07Ee3204F6a96e7AAD59e54f55-1764561992690

0xa03e759cc9fc4a07ee3204f6a96e7aad59e54f55

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $158.92
Realized PnL: $903.5
Win rate: 60.9%
Open positions: 20
Closed positions: 23
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.95K
Potential profit: $8.95K
User PnL: -$157.98

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $941.72
Potential profit: $941.72
User PnL: -$408.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $499.99
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $135.74
Potential payout: $460.15
Potential profit: $324.4
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$74.26

Yes position

Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $10.89
Potential payout: $357.14
Potential profit: $346.25
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$39.11

Yes position

Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-04?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $276.19
Potential profit: $276.19
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.26
Potential profit: $230.26
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?

Ends Jan 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$122.5

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.81
Potential profit: $137.81
User PnL: -$49.03

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.38
Potential profit: $128.38
User PnL: -$24.39

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $104.17
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.76
Potential profit: $79.76
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.46
Potential profit: $61.46
User PnL: -$4.99

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 35%
Current value: $12.28
Potential payout: $35.09
Potential profit: $22.81
Multiplier: 2.86x
User PnL: -$7.72

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.64
Potential profit: $25.64
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?

Ends Feb 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25.42
Potential profit: $25.42
User PnL: -$15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.65
Potential profit: $23.65
User PnL: -$4.97

Yes position

Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $393.82

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-08?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.17

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.26

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.31

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.67

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.95

No position

Bad Bunny wears a dress or skirt at the Big Game?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.42

Yes position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.21

Yes position

Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Feb 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.63

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.19

Yes position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 125M and 150M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Player 58 win Beast Games: Season 2?

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$7.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

No position

Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$88.22

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Portugal to score first vs. Spain?

18.3% 53.33 shares
Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score

Yes 63.7% 31.42 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?

Yes 52% 38.46 shares
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score

Yes 60% 16.67 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 39% 25.64 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Yes 19% 125.18 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 48% 104.17 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?

Yes 34% 28.25 shares
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?

Yes 36% 106.84 shares
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-18?

Yes 20% 100 shares
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?

Yes 71% 35.21 shares
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Yes 11% 347.22 shares