No position
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $400.82
- Potential payout
- $818
- Potential profit
- $417.18
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$147.24
Polymarket Trader
rundfunkbeitraege
0xa04f4b17f83b72d80e215dd8ea4728f4300f15ba
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $762.32
- Realized PnL
- $3.88K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $280.72
- Potential payout
- $591
- Potential profit
- $310.28
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $127.66
Yes position
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $52.5
- Potential payout
- $420
- Potential profit
- $367.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $2.1
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $148
- Potential profit
- $145.19
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$72.67
Yes position
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $25.46
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $50.54
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $13.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Alabama Crimson Tide position
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Ole Miss Rebels
Ends Feb 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $605.64
Under position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $571.86
No position
Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.8
Yes position
Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.81
Yes position
Will FC Slovan Liberec win on 2026-04-04?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $304.5
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 29?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $265.5
Yes position
Will Kanye release BULLY by March 20?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $256.23
Yes position
Will "Data Center" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $194.84
Yes position
Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be between $8.75B and $9.00B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $192.32
Yes position
Will Trump post "Free Tina Peters" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $158.4
Yes position
Cam Spencer: Assists Over 8.5
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.52
No position
Will Team Spirit make it to the Blast Open Rotterdam Grand Final?
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $91
Yes position
Will Millonarios FC win on 2026-04-11?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $58.86
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 16 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.8
No position
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
Ends Jul 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $49.27
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.26
No position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $41.54
No position
Will SPD win the second most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $37.44
Yes position
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.32
Yes position
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.12
Yes position
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.78
No position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $12.39
Yes position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.85
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 57% 1,110 shares
- Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No 25.9% 591 shares
- Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 33% 126 shares
- Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?No 33% 175 shares
- Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No 83% 581 shares
- Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No 83% 143 shares
- Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31, 2026?No 67% 818 shares
- Will there be at least 1950 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?No 84% 724 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?No 64% 284 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?No 64% 749 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?No 64% 696 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?No 64% 528 shares