Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 22, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $6.71
- Potential payout
- $706.55
- Potential profit
- $699.84
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $5.71
Polymarket Trader
Laughing-Robot
0xa05504c7c0ad0a54d0c0ecc1491f5dc4c0d4e8f2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.54
- Realized PnL
- $176.51
- Win rate
- 79.2%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $2.48
- Potential payout
- $236.44
- Potential profit
- $233.96
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- $0.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $136.99
- Potential profit
- $136.99
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 21, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $1.91
- Potential payout
- $90.83
- Potential profit
- $88.93
- Multiplier
- 47.62x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $0.77
- Potential payout
- $73.13
- Potential profit
- $72.36
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.23
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.11
- Potential profit
- $72.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $2.95
- Potential payout
- $51.32
- Potential profit
- $48.37
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
No position
Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?
Ends Jul 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $25.12
- Potential payout
- $34.41
- Potential profit
- $9.29
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $5.12
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $30.73
- Potential profit
- $30.19
- Multiplier
- 57.14x
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $1.08
- Potential payout
- $27.03
- Potential profit
- $25.95
- Multiplier
- 25.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.92
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.9%
- Current value
- $4.98
- Potential payout
- $13.51
- Potential profit
- $8.53
- Multiplier
- 2.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.36
- Potential profit
- $11.36
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.26
- Potential profit
- $9.26
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.94
- Potential profit
- $7.94
- User PnL
- -$5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.94
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.63
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.45
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.87
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.57
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.91
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will France win on 2026-07-14?Yes 37% 13.51 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026?Yes 9.7% 51.32 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026?Yes 3.3% 30.73 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026?Yes 0.8% 236.44 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026?Yes 1.4% 73.13 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 22, 2026?Yes 0.1% 706.55 shares
- Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 21, 2026?Yes 1.1% 90.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp 97% 10 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETUp 50% 10 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 14?Yes 85% 46.85 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ETDown 44% 11.36 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ETDown 43% 11.63 shares