Polymarket Trader

Sarude

@Sarude221

0xa05d08a33feeb3daad477ee04046e46981d60539

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $342.13
Realized PnL: $679.11
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $65.87
Potential payout: $1.46K
Potential profit: $1.4K
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$100.13

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $614.44
Potential profit: $614.44
User PnL: -$38.7

Yes position

Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $227.55
Potential payout: $370
Potential profit: $142.45
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: -$31.15

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $8.76
Potential payout: $344.83
Potential profit: $336.07
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$21.24

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $19.43
Potential payout: $259.06
Potential profit: $239.63
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$10.29

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.41
Potential profit: $119.41
User PnL: -$68.4

Alex Pereira position

UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $118.04
Potential profit: $118.04
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Ends Jul 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.12
Potential profit: $115.12
User PnL: -$48.35

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Ends Jul 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.31
Potential profit: $114.31
User PnL: -$43.44

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $95.72
Potential profit: $95.72
User PnL: -$21.2

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $37.02
Potential profit: $37.02
User PnL: -$19.62

Yes position

Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.51
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Will Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 69.5%
Current value: $15.65
Potential payout: $22.52
Potential profit: $6.87
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $1.69

Michael Chandler position

UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $18.75
User PnL: -$3

Derrick Lewis position

UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?

Ends Mar 1, 2027

Implied probability: 46.1%
Current value: $4.37
Potential payout: $9.5
Potential profit: $5.12
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$1.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next?

Ends Mar 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.2

Volkanovski position

UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82

No position

Lighter Airdrop on December 29?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.79

Yes position

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48.4

Justin Gaethje position

UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40

No position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29

Yan position

UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.5

Alexander Volkov position

UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.96

Yes position

Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.52

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.4

Makhachev position

UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)

Ends Nov 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.3

Gaethje position

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20

Yes position

Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18

Yes position

Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.57

Strickland position

UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Joshua Van position

UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.82

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

Ends Jul 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.39

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 April 20-26?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.5

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-07-09?

Ends Jul 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.07

Yes position

Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.49

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 82.4%
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $11.33

OMalley position

UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Roman Kopylov position

UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Arman Tsarukyan fight Charles Oliveira next?

No 59.9% 9.5 shares
Will France win on 2026-07-14?

Yes 42% 115.12 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 37% 114.3 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 38% 127 shares
Will England win on 2026-07-15?

Yes 38% 101.61 shares
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Paddy Pimblett 44% 11 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Conor McGregor 27% 29.15 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 57% 42.72 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Yes 58% 33.6 shares
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14.5% 60.24 shares
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Conor McGregor 33% 29.15 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Yes 7% 137 shares