Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.97K
- Potential profit
- $23.97K
- User PnL
- -$40.75
Polymarket Trader
Furyhound
0xa082c2c393e19af3ba93e127f2a65362c84d5e8f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.52K
- Realized PnL
- $124.99
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.02K
- Potential profit
- $19.02K
- User PnL
- -$27.62
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $1.38K
- Potential payout
- $14.54K
- Potential profit
- $13.16K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$923.94
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will Trump dance today?
Ends Apr 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.64K
- Potential profit
- $2.64K
- User PnL
- -$3.96
Yes position
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Street" this week?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5%
- Current value
- $90.02
- Potential payout
- $1.82K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- Multiplier
- 20.20x
- User PnL
- -$72.43
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $5.2
- Potential payout
- $693.51
- Potential profit
- $688.31
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$20.8
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $666.67
- Potential profit
- $666.67
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $435.16
- Potential profit
- $435.16
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12%
- Current value
- $45.24
- Potential payout
- $376.96
- Potential profit
- $331.73
- Multiplier
- 8.33x
- User PnL
- -$14.76
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $250
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 26, 2026?
Ends Apr 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.67
- Potential profit
- $189.67
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.67
- Potential profit
- $185.67
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $166.67
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $132.72
- Potential profit
- $132.72
- User PnL
- -$1.86
Yes position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?
Ends May 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $92.87
- Potential profit
- $92.87
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $90.53
- Potential profit
- $90.53
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.46
- Potential profit
- $71.46
- User PnL
- -$0.93
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1.5
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.86
Yes position
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.84
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $2.96
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on April 17?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 22?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 13?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
USD.AI FDV above $650M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Solana be above $100 on April 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 14?
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 11% 54.55 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?Yes 0.2% 500 shares
- Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes 0.6% 166.67 shares
- Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 42 million views on day 2?Yes 0.8% 125 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 59 shares
- Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?Yes 15.9% 376.96 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes 7% 714.29 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 769.23 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?No 0.1% 12,000 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?No 0.4% 500 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 13% 65 shares
- Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?No 0.2% 3,920 shares