Polymarket Trader

yamamoto.

0xa0898d49ed920e07f8c2fc053635c954095602a1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $201.26
Realized PnL: $115.84
Win rate: 58.3%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $34.41
Potential payout: $280.9
Potential profit: $246.49
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: $9.41

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 8.1%
Current value: $20.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $229.88
Multiplier: 12.42x
User PnL: -$4.88

No position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 36%
Current value: $72.58
Potential payout: $201.61
Potential profit: $129.03
Multiplier: 2.78x
User PnL: $14.05

No position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.74
Potential profit: $183.74
User PnL: -$39.71

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $28.47
Potential payout: $154.32
Potential profit: $125.85
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $3.47

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.8%
Current value: $21.22
Potential payout: $154.32
Potential profit: $133.1
Multiplier: 7.27x
User PnL: -$3.78

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.53
Potential profit: $110.53
User PnL: -$12.49

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $24.46
Potential payout: $108.69
Potential profit: $84.24
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $10.99

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $89.29
Potential profit: $89.29
User PnL: -$50

Over position

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.23
Potential profit: $57.23
User PnL: -$32.62

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.85
Potential profit: $50.85
User PnL: -$30

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.41
Potential profit: $29.41
User PnL: -$10

Over position

United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 4.5 Corners

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.3
Potential profit: $28.3
User PnL: -$15

Spain position

Spread: Spain (-4.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.28
Potential profit: $24.28
User PnL: -$11.17

Under position

Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.05

Over position

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.74

Yes position

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.26

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.81

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.6

No position

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.1%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $10.01

Yes position

Germany to score first vs. Curaçao?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.07

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.14

No position

Will Trump visit China by May 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.43

No position

Ukraine hits Moscow by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0

No position

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 98.5%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0

Over position

Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 4.5 Corners

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Under position

Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Mexico position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

James Comey arrested by April 29?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.38

Over position

Ukraine vs. Albania: O/U 1.5

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Italy win on 2026-03-31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.59

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$19.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Spain vs. Cabo Verde: 1st Half O/U 0.5

Over 57% 57.23 shares
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 71% 45.46 shares
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

No 27.8% 190.77 shares
Spread: Spain (-4.5)

Spain 19% 26.32 shares
Spread: Spain (-3.5)

Spain 34% 29.41 shares
Spread: Spain (-2.5)

Spain 56% 89.29 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?

Yes 46% 24.28 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5

Over 99.9% 129.87 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5

Over 77% 129.87 shares
Germany to score first vs. Curaçao?

Yes 99.9% 102.17 shares
Germany to score first vs. Curaçao?

Yes 92% 102.17 shares
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5

Under 69% 21.74 shares