Polymarket Trader

karpathy

0xa08bc4875741f3e4e4640465e0cbd801844312d6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $1.47K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.95
Potential profit: $300.95
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.95
Potential profit: $300.95
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.94
Potential profit: $300.94
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.94
Potential profit: $300.94
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.88
Potential profit: $300.88
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.87
Potential profit: $300.87
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.83
Potential profit: $300.83
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.83
Potential profit: $300.83
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.8
Potential profit: $300.8
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.77
Potential profit: $300.77
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.71
Potential profit: $300.71
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.68
Potential profit: $300.68
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.67
Potential profit: $300.67
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.67
Potential profit: $300.67
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.67
Potential profit: $300.67
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.64
Potential profit: $300.64
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.58
Potential profit: $300.58
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.58
Potential profit: $300.58
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.57
Potential profit: $300.57
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.55
Potential profit: $300.55
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.51
Potential profit: $300.51
User PnL: -$3.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.46
Potential profit: $300.46
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.41
Potential profit: $300.41
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300.36
Potential profit: $300.36
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.01

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.62

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Jul 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $99.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.91

No position

Will Getafe win on 2025-09-21?

Ends Sep 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.03

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on September 22?

Ends Sep 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71

No position

Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-09-26?

Ends Sep 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.75

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on September 24?

Ends Sep 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.14

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on September 25?

Ends Sep 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04

No position

Will BetBoom Team win The International 2025 Tournament?

Ends Sep 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Yes position

Will PagerDuty (PD) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Nov 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.07

No position

Will Trump and Xi shake hands for less than 2 seconds on October 30, 2025?

Ends Oct 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Yes position

Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025)

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.68

Yes position

Will Israel not strike Yemen by 15 ET?

Ends Sep 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.46

No position

Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,700 on September 17?

Ends Sep 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43

No position

Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?

Ends Oct 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 23?

No 99.7% 20.06 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 23?

No 99.4% 25.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on December 23?

No 99.2% 50.4 shares
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 44°F or higher on December 23?

No 99.2% 60.48 shares
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)

Yes 98.7% 41.74 shares
Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 23, 2025)

Yes 98.5% 8.87 shares
Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?

No 99.8% 40.08 shares
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

No 99% 35.35 shares
Will Solana dip to $110 December 15-21?

No 99.7% 75.22 shares
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

Yes 99.8% 80.16 shares
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?

No 99.9% 35.03 shares
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 21?

No 98.9% 40.44 shares