No position
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $466.41
- Potential payout
- $494.87
- Potential profit
- $28.46
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $466.41
Polymarket Trader
usolndhs
0xa095291ef653f8f26eaf356a729f44d373e76040
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.23K
- Realized PnL
- $7.63K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $1.22
- Potential payout
- $486.62
- Potential profit
- $485.4
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$62.31
Yes position
Will Vicente Ada win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $179.51
- Potential payout
- $443.23
- Potential profit
- $263.72
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $179.51
Yes position
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $3.06
- Potential payout
- $360
- Potential profit
- $356.94
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$67.51
Yes position
Will Lawrence Kellogg advance to the general election for WA-03?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $12.72
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $237.27
- Multiplier
- 19.65x
- User PnL
- -$36.77
Yes position
Will Nicholas Sciretta be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $249.97
- Potential profit
- $249.59
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$57.12
Yes position
Will Joe S. San Agustin win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.71
- Potential payout
- $201.5
- Potential profit
- $199.79
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$40.59
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $162.98
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $37.02
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $162.98
Yes position
Will Bruce Walden advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.7%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $142.95
- Multiplier
- 21.28x
- User PnL
- -$24.45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $23.13
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $101.88
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$13.38
N
No position
Will Trump praise Weijia Jiang by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $91.94
- Potential payout
- $108.8
- Potential profit
- $16.86
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $91.94
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $21.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $78.5
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$21.96
No position
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.14
- Potential payout
- $71.85
- Potential profit
- $71.71
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$14.94
No position
Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $25.12
- Potential payout
- $59.11
- Potential profit
- $33.99
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $5.02
Yes position
Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.3%
- Current value
- $51.19
- Potential payout
- $56.72
- Potential profit
- $5.53
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $44.95
Yes position
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $30.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $19.75
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $10.75
Yes position
Labour leadership election scheduled by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $46.25
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $26.25
No position
Spain snap election called in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $28.35
- Potential payout
- $49.3
- Potential profit
- $20.95
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $28.35
No position
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $33
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $7
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $20.2
No position
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 70.5%
- Current value
- $25.1
- Potential payout
- $35.6
- Potential profit
- $10.5
- Multiplier
- 1.42x
- User PnL
- $15.84
No position
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60%
- Current value
- $20.09
- Potential payout
- $33.48
- Potential profit
- $13.39
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- $14.4
Yes position
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Ends Nov 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.13
- Potential payout
- $28.61
- Potential profit
- $28.48
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
Yes position
Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $25.4
- Potential profit
- $25.36
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.99
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $819.75
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $595.68
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $589.27
No position
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $511.25
No position
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $440.5
No position
Peter Mandelson charged by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $435.25
No position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $421.26
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $361.1
Yes position
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $323.6
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $310.76
No position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $302.74
No position
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $291.45
No position
Will Juntos por el Perú (JP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $237.53
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $232.5
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $213
No position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $205.98
Yes position
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $186.25
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182
No position
Jones Act domestic shipping requirements removed by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $177.5
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,600 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $170
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $159.2
No position
Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.75
No position
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156
No position
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No 93.6% 225 shares
- Will Phil Scott win the 2026 Vermont Governor Republican primary election?No 2% 1,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?Yes 5.3% 1,000 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat?No 53.4% 479.31 shares
- Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?No 94.7% 16.73 shares
- Will Russia capture Kindrativka by May 31?No 65.9% 560.43 shares
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?No 85.9% 624.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 75% 200 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 97.2% 135 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 76.2% 40 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 76.6% 220.4 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No 96.9% 365 shares